Sunk Cost

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📖 Detailed Explanation

Sunk cost refers to costs that have already been incurred and cannot be recovered, such as preliminary market research expenses, equipment customization fees, and mold development costs already invested. In foreign trade, this commonly occurs when customers cancel orders, projects are terminated, or businesses pivot, requiring rational judgment on whether to continue additional investment. Usage scenarios include: quotation decisions, order selection, and contract breach handling. Note: Sunk costs should not influence current decisions; rational decision-making should only consider marginal costs and future benefits. However, in reality, people often fall into the 'sunk cost fallacy' due to reluctance, leading to greater losses. Difference from 'opportunity cost': Sunk cost is already incurred and unrecoverable, while opportunity cost is the value of the next best alternative forgone. Difference from 'fixed cost': Fixed costs do not vary with output but may be recoverable, whereas sunk cost emphasizes unrecoverability. Foreign trade practitioners should regularly evaluate projects, cut losses in time, and avoid being held hostage by sunk costs.

📝 Examples

1. We have invested 200,000 yuan in developing this custom mold, but the customer suddenly canceled the order. This mold fee has become a sunk cost and should no longer affect our decision on whether to accept other small-batch orders. (Note: Emphasizes that the investment is unrecoverable and should be ignored in decision-making.) 2. Although a significant amount has been spent on preliminary market promotion, considering the sudden policy change in the target market, we decided to stop the project to avoid further investment, because those promotion expenses are already sunk costs. (Note: Cut losses in time and do not continue investing due to sunk costs.)

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