Exchange Rate Risk

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📖 Detailed Explanation

Exchange Rate Risk, also known as foreign exchange risk, refers to the possibility that in international trade, fluctuations in exchange rates may cause changes in the value of foreign currency-denominated receivables, payables, assets, or liabilities when converted into the local currency. Usage scenarios include: after an exporter signs a forward foreign currency contract, if the local currency appreciates, the foreign currency payment received converts into less local currency; importers face increased foreign exchange purchase costs due to local currency depreciation. Precautions: Enterprises should hedge through tools such as forward foreign exchange settlement and sale, foreign exchange options, and currency swaps, or stipulate exchange rate adjustment clauses in contracts and use local currency pricing. Unlike 'price risk,' which stems from supply and demand in the commodity market, exchange rate risk is purely caused by changes in currency exchange ratios; it is also different from 'credit risk,' which involves counterparty default. Foreign trade practitioners need to assess exchange rate exposure at every stage of quotation, contract signing, and settlement to avoid profits being eroded by exchange rate fluctuations.

📝 Examples

1. We signed an export contract worth 1 million euros with a European customer, with a payment term of 90 days. To avoid exchange rate risk, the company decided to enter into a forward foreign exchange settlement with the bank to lock in the exchange rate. (Note: The exporter locks in the future foreign exchange collection rate through forward settlement to prevent losses caused by euro depreciation.) 2. Due to the recent increased volatility of the RMB against the USD exchange rate, the import department suggested adding an exchange rate risk sharing clause to the procurement contract. If the exchange rate fluctuation exceeds 3%, both parties will adjust the payment proportionally. (Note: The importer uses contract clauses to transfer part of the exchange rate risk and reduce the increase in foreign exchange purchase costs caused by local currency depreciation.)

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